Betcoin<\/td> 4.3<\/td> 3.45<\/td> 1.85<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\u0130lk olarak bu oranlar\u0131n her biri i\u00e7in \u201cima edilen olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131\u201d hesapl\u0131yoruz. Bahis \u015firketinin avantaj\u0131 0 olsayd\u0131, olas\u0131l\u0131k bu olurdu. \u0130ma edilen olas\u0131l\u0131k:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
ima_edilen_olas\u0131l\u0131k = 1 \/ oran \u00d7 %100<\/code><\/pre>\n\n\n\nBu form\u00fcl\u00fc yukar\u0131daki tabloya uygulayarak \u015funu elde ederiz:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<\/th> Salt Lake<\/th> Beraberlik<\/th> Minnesota<\/th><\/tr><\/thead> Cloudbet<\/td> 22.8<\/td> 28.5<\/td> 53.5<\/td><\/tr> Stake<\/td> 23.3<\/td> 29<\/td> 54.1<\/td><\/tr> Sportsbet<\/td> 27<\/td> 25.6<\/span><\/strong><\/td> 54.1<\/td><\/tr> Nitrogen<\/td> 23.8<\/td> 29.9<\/td> 55.2<\/td><\/tr> BetBTC<\/td> 22.9<\/td> 28.6<\/td> 53.3<\/td><\/tr> Betcoin<\/td> 23.3<\/td> 29<\/td> 54.1<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\u0130ma edilen olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n, bahis \u015firketlerinin inand\u0131klar\u0131 ger\u00e7ek olas\u0131l\u0131klar olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 biliyoruz, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc bahis \u015firketleri kendilerine avantaj sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in oranlar\u0131 azalt\u0131r. Bahis \u015firketlerinin inand\u0131klar\u0131 ger\u00e7ek olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n ne oldu\u011funu, ima edilen olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131 bahis \u015firketlerinin “bahis komisyonu” olarak bilinen avantaj \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcs\u00fcne b\u00f6lerek tahmin edebiliriz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Bahis komisyonu, ima edilen olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n toplam\u0131n\u0131n %100’\u00fc ne kadar a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131d\u0131r. \u00d6rne\u011fin, yukar\u0131daki tabloda Cloudbet\u2019in bahis komisyonu \u015fudur:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
bahis komisyonu = 22,8 + 28,5 + 53,5 - 100 = 4,8<\/code><\/pre>\n\n\n\nHer bir bahis \u015firketi i\u00e7in bahis komisyonunu hesaplarsak \u015funlar\u0131 elde ederiz:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<\/th> Bahis Komisyonu<\/th><\/tr><\/thead> Cloudbet<\/td> 4.75<\/td><\/tr> Stake<\/td> 6.3<\/td><\/tr> Sportsbet<\/td> 6.58<\/span><\/strong><\/td><\/tr>Nitrogen<\/td> 8.91<\/td><\/tr> BetBTC<\/td> 4.8<\/td><\/tr> Betcoin<\/td> 6.3<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\nBahis \u015firketlerinin ger\u00e7ek olas\u0131l\u0131klara ili\u015fkin beklentilerini tahmin etmek i\u00e7in bahis komisyonunu kullanabiliriz:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
bahis_\u015firketi_olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131= ima_edilen_olas\u0131l\u0131k\/ (1 + bahis komisyonu)<\/code><\/pre>\n\n\n\nBu form\u00fcl\u00fc kullanarak a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 elde ederiz:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<\/th> Salt Lake<\/th> Beraberlik<\/th> Minnesota<\/th><\/tr><\/thead> Cloudbet<\/td> 21.7<\/td> 27.2<\/td> 51.1<\/td><\/tr> Stake<\/td> 21.9<\/td> 27.3<\/td> 50.9<\/td><\/tr> Sportsbet<\/td> 25.3<\/td> 24<\/span><\/strong><\/td> 50.7<\/td><\/tr> Nitrogen<\/td> 21.9<\/td> 27.4<\/td> 50.7<\/td><\/tr> BetBTC<\/td> 21.9<\/td> 27.3<\/td> 50.9<\/td><\/tr> Betcoin<\/td> 21.9<\/td> 27.3<\/td> 50.9<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\nArd\u0131ndan, ger\u00e7ek olas\u0131l\u0131\u011fa ili\u015fkin en iyi tahminimizi elde etmek i\u00e7in t\u00fcm bahis \u015firketlerinin ortalamas\u0131n\u0131 alabiliriz:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<\/th> Salt Lake<\/th> Beraberlik<\/th> Minnesota<\/th><\/tr><\/thead> Ortalama olas\u0131l\u0131k<\/td> 22.4<\/td> 26.7<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/td> 50.8<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\nSon olarak, ger\u00e7ek olas\u0131l\u0131k tahminimizi ve spor bahislerinin oranlar\u0131n\u0131 kullanarak her bir bahsin beklenen de\u011ferini hesaplayabiliriz:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
beklenen_de\u011fer = olas\u0131l\u0131k \u00d7 oranlar - %100<\/code><\/pre>\n\n\n\nSonu\u00e7 olarak:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<\/th> Salt Lake<\/th> Beraberlik<\/th> Minnesota<\/th><\/tr><\/thead> Cloudbet<\/td> -1.6<\/td> -6.1<\/td> -4.9<\/td><\/tr> Stake<\/td> -3.6<\/td> -7.8<\/td> -5.9<\/td><\/tr> Sportsbet<\/td> -16.8<\/td> 4.5<\/span><\/strong><\/td> -5.9<\/td><\/tr> Nitrogen<\/td> -5.8<\/td> -10.4<\/td> -8<\/td><\/tr> BetBTC<\/td> -2.1<\/td> -6.5<\/td> -4.6<\/td><\/tr> Betcoin<\/td> -3.6<\/td> -7.8<\/td> -5.9<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\u015eimdi pozitif de\u011ferler ar\u0131yoruz ve Sportsbet’te<\/a> beraberli\u011fe bahis yapman\u0131n beklenen de\u011ferinin %4,5 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu durum, bu bahsin ortalama olarak %4,5 kar getirece\u011fini ima eder.<\/p>\n\n\n\nBol \u015fanslar ve iyi e\u011flenceler!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
De\u011fer bahisleri tespit eden bir anl\u0131k uyar\u0131 olu\u015fturduk. Bir bahis \u015firketinin piyasan\u0131n geri kalan\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde daha y\u00fcksek oranlar sundu\u011fu ayk\u0131r\u0131 de\u011ferleri buluruz. Bunlar pozitif beklenen de\u011fer bahisleridir, bu nedenle bahis \u015firketinde avantaj\u0131n\u0131z ve uzun vadeli k\u00e2r i\u00e7in iyi bir…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitodds.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/51021"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitodds.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitodds.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitodds.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitodds.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51021"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/bitodds.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/51021\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":51022,"href":"https:\/\/bitodds.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/51021\/revisions\/51022"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitodds.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51021"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}